Estimates of population density for the Early Neolithic (Linearbandkeramik) of western Germany exhibit marked diachronic dynamics that may be described as demographic cycles. These patterns are validated by a source-critical approach on various scales that combines distribution maps and observation frequencies in time. As a second step, processes causing downswings are addressed. Did people become extinct or did they just move away? Furthermore, potential influencing factors are discussed. At a regional scale, a preliminary modelling of the LBK cycle in the lower Rhine basin based on a logistic equation is calculated and possible interpretations are discussed. For future analyses on supra-regional scales, a statistical analysis is proposed in which size and resilience of past societies are analyzed by internal dynamics as well as external factors.
Zimmermann_etal_2020_Demographic Transitions_Cycles and Mobility.pdf Accessed 76 times | Last updated 21.08.2020
Zimmermann, A., Scharl, S., Schmidt, I. (2020): Demographic Transitions – Cycles and Mobility in the Neolithic of Western Germany. Archaeopress. Demography and Migration. Population trajectories from the Neolithic to the Iron Age, Vol. 5, Gloucester
|Authors||Zimmermann, Andreas and Scharl, Silviane and Schmidt, Isabell|
|Title||Demographic Transitions – Cycles and Mobility in the Neolithic of Western Germany|
|Booktitle||Demography and Migration. Population trajectories from the Neolithic to the Iron Age|
|Editor||Thibault Lachenal, Réjane Roure and Olivier Lemercier|
|Series||UISPP PROCEEDINGS SERIES|